NBA Playoffs: Home Cookin’
When we last check in (prior to the Lakers and Jazz Game Three), the home teams in the second round were dominating both the win column and the cash. Home teams had gone 10-0 straight up, and 9-1 against the pointspread.
Since that time, the linesmakers have done a good job adjusting the lines. Home teams are 12-2 straight up from May 9 going forward, but are only 7-7 ATS. For the second round as a whole (not including tonight’s Spurs-Hornets Game Seven), the home teams are a combined 22-2 straight up and 16-8 ATS.
Both home teams that lost outright also failed to cover the pointspread. Orlando lost 90-89 as a 5.5-point favorite, while Utah fell to the Lakers, 108-105 as a four-point choice. Therefore, in the second round of the NBA Playoffs, the winning team was 18-6 ATS – a 75% proposition!
Despite the home teams’ dominance, the action on most of the games have been pretty even. In fact, there wasn’t one lopsided game since the last blog posting! The book was relieved, however, to see Boston win Game Seven on Sunday, as more than a few people took Cleveland in the series, paying roughly 5.5-to-1.
The Cleveland-Boston series was the exception this year. The Cavs covered three of the four games played in Boston despite losing all four contests. Cleveland ended up going 6-1 ATS against the Celtics over the span of the seven-game series.
The New Orleans-San Antonio series has stayed perfect to form. The home team is a perfect 6-0 both straight up and ATS. The Hornets hope that trend remains true tonight, as they are a 4.5-point home favorite.
Will the home-team trend continue into the Conference Finals? Last year, home teams went 8-3 straight up and 7-4 ATS. Cleveland went a perfect 6-0 ATS against Detroit, including three ATS wins in the Motor City. San Antonio went 4-1 ATS against the Jazz, covering one of the two games played in Utah. The two NBA Finals teams went a combined 10-1 ATS in the Conference Finals Round.
We’ll be back here next week to see if any trends develop during the next series!
Heading into Friday night’s Game Three between the Lakers and Jazz, the home teams in the second round have been near perfect so far. In ten second round games, the home team is a perfect 10-0 straight up and a near-perfect 9-1 against the pointspread. That lone ATS loss was Game One of the Cleveland-Boston Series, in which the Celtics won by four points while laying ten.
Heading in to the elimination games of the NBA Playoffs, some interesting
What a game to end a fantastic March Madness Tournament! The Jayhawks miracle comeback (down by 9 with two minutes left) left most 
